S4E30. 真的假的？用贝叶斯定理分析一次菲律宾彩票开奖

<p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal">节目中用到的条件概率公式：</p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><img data-key="0" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/5ae4-audiofreehighqps/16/E1/GKwRIaIJcQUjAAQ5PAKYJYun.jpg!op_type=4&amp;device_type=ios&amp;upload_type=attachment&amp;name=mobile_large" alt="" data-origin="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/5ae4-audiofreehighqps/16/E1/GKwRIaIJcQUjAAQ5PAKYJYun.jpg?op_type=0" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/5ae4-audiofreehighqps/16/E1/GKwRIaIJcQUjAAQ5PAKYJYun.jpg!op_type=4&amp;device_type=ios&amp;upload_type=attachment&amp;name=mobile_large" data-large-width="750" data-large-height="82.73611466598413" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/5ae4-audiofreehighqps/16/E1/GKwRIaIJcQUjA...