TIP773: How Systems and Simple Math Shape Better Investing w/ Kyle Grieve

On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses powerful mental models from systems thinking and mathematics and applies them directly to investing and life. He breaks down concepts like feedback loops, kill criteria, scale, compounding, randomness, and regression to the mean to show how they shape real-world outcomes. He'll also share practical frameworks for improving decision-making, managing uncertainty, and positioning your portfolio to benefit from long-term compounding. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:23 - How feedback loops stabilize or reinforce outcomes in investing 00:10:11 - How kill criteria help you make predetermined decisions in a noisy world 00:14:09 - Why the cone of uncertainty is useful for evaluating conviction and position sizing 00:17:33 - How scale changes the behavior, costs, and risks of a growing business 00:25:06 - How algorithms clarify which inputs drive the conclusions you rely on 00:30:20 - How to evaluate a company’s ability to ...